Health economists predict that in states that already have robust competition among insurance companies—states such as Colorado, Minnesota and Oregon — the exchanges are likely to stimulate more. But according to Linda Blumberg of the Urban Institute, “There are still going to be states with virtual monopolies.” Currently Alabama, Hawaii, Michigan, Delaware, Alaska, North Dakota, South Carolina, Rhode Island, Wyoming and Nebraska all are dominated by a single insurance company. The advent of the exchanges is unlikely to change that, according to Blumberg.
This story needs some additional context. Section 1334 of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act establishes a shared federal-state regulatory regime requiring health benefit exchanges to offer at least two “multi-state plans” (one must be a nonprofit) in their individual and small business exchanges. These plans would be established under federal charter through the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) and licensed in all states. The idea behind multi-state plans is to bolster competition in state markets, particularly those with smaller populations and fewer payers, as well as to create a larger risk pool to help assure affordability of premiums and ward off adverse selection.
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